ESPN’s FPI has a prediction for North Carolina’s Week 11 game vs. Duke.

Both programs are coming off of wins in Week 10. The Tar Heels blew out Campbell 59-7 last week, closing out their nonconference slate. Duke edged out Wake Forest with a last-second field goal to pick up a win on Saturday as well.

FPI gives Carolina the edge in this matchup. The model says UNC has a 62.6% chance of winning in Chapel Hill on Saturday.

North Carolina is looking for its first ACC win since it beat Miami on Oct. 14. The Tar Heels have lost back-to-back conference games to Georgia Tech and Virginia entering this contest vs. the Blue Devils.

Duke is not expected to have starting quarterback Riley Leonard available as he deals with a toe injury. Grayson Loftis made his first career start last week in place of Leonard.

North Carolina has won four consecutive games in this series.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET on Saturday night.