ESPN’s FPI predicts the remaining games on Florida State’s schedule
Florida State is off this week as it prepares for the home stretch of the regular season.
It’s a much-needed bye week as the Seminoles have lost 3 straight contests following their 4-0 start to the season.
However, despite the losing streak, Florida State has a chance to end the season on a high note. FSU is looking for its first 8+ win season since 2016. ESPN’s Football Power Index is projecting Florida State to finish with 7.3 wins in the regular season — that’s up from a preseason projection of 6.8 victories.
FPI also has Florida State favored in 4 of its final 5 games, which would put the Noles at 8-4 in the regular season with a bowl game still to play.
Here’s FPI’s breakdown of Florida State’s chances to win each of its remaining games, along with what those chances were in the preseason:
- Oct. 29: vs. Georgia Tech — 89.9% (preseason: 82.1%)
- Nov. 5: at Miami — 51.3% (preseason: 25.5%)
- Nov. 12: at Syracuse — 39.2% (preseason: 61%)
- Nov. 19: vs. Louisiana — 86.9% (preseason: 82.4%)
- Nov. 26: vs. Florida — 66.4% (preseason: 55.7%)
Florida State’s chances to win have improved in 4 of the 5 games, with Syracuse being the lone exception. That likely has more to do with Syracuse than Florida State, as the Orange are 6-0 this season ahead their marquee matchup with Clemson.
FSU is favored to win both of its remaining rivalry games — at Miami on Nov. 5 and vs. Florida on Nov. 26.
Florida State and Georgia Tech will kickoff at 12 p.m. ET next weekend.