ESPN’s SP+ has published its prediction for the final score of Florida State vs. Louisville this weekend.

FSU is playing in its first ACC Championship Game since 2014 on Saturday. The Noles are one win away from going 13-0 for the first time since 2014 as well.

Louisville is also the midst of a dream season in Jeff Brohm’s first year at the helm. The Cardinals went 10-2 during the regular season and are now set to play in the ACC Championship Game for the first time ever.

SP+ is projecting Florida State as a big favorite in this matchup. The model has FSU winning 33-20. However, the projection does not account for the injury to quarterback Jordan Travis. As ESPN’s Bill Connelly notes, it may be reasonable to subtract a touchdown from FSU’s point total based on how the Noles and Tate Rodemaker played last week vs. Florida.

Florida State overcame a 12-0 deficit to defeat Florida 24-15 last week in Gainesville.

While Rodemaker doesn’t have much experience as FSU’s starter, he has played significant reps against Louisville. Last season, Rodemaker replaced an injured Travis on the road against the Cardinals and led FSU to a comeback win in that contest. He threw a pair of touchdown passes to Johnny Wilson in that win over Louisville.

Kickoff is at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday night. The game will be broadcast on ABC.