ESPN’s FPI predicts the remaining games on Miami’s schedule

Miami had a rough nonconference slate, dropping games to Texas A&M and Middle Tennessee before the calendar flipped to October.

But the Canes still have a chance to have a solid Year 1 under coach Mario Cristobal, and they’re expected to win most of their remaining games.

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index

, Miami is favored in 6 of its final 8 games of the season. It also has nearly a 50% chance to beat Florida State in November.

Here’s how FPI is projecting the rest of Miami’s schedule, along with what the model was predicting back in the preseason:

• Oct. 8 vs. North Carolina — 74% chance of winning (preseason: 71.9%)
• Oct. 15 at Virginia Tech — 77% chance of winning (preseason: 82.4)
• Oct. 22 vs. Duke — 81.4% chance of winning (preseason: 95.6%)
• Oct. 29 at Virginia — 67.2% chance of winning (preseason: 73.9%)
• Nov. 5 vs. Florida State — 49.7% chance of winning (preseason: 74.5%)
• Nov. 12 at Georgia Tech — 82.5% chance of winning (preseason: 80.8%)
• Nov. 19 at Clemson — 15.7% chance of winning (preseason: 20%)
• Nov. 26 vs. Pitt — 60.9% chance of winning (preseason: 69.6%)

Miami’s chances to defeat North Carolina and Georgia Tech have gone up. Most outcomes are relatively unchanged. Only Florida State and Duke — both off to strong starts this season — have seen significant shifts in expected outcome.

Miami is off in Week 5 but will host North Carolina in Week 6.