It was a tough weekend for Miami, who fell 45-21 against Duke at home on Saturday afternoon.

The loss pushes the Canes to 3-4 on the season, and wiped away any momentum the program had after pulling off a road win in Blacksburg the week before.

The defeat is also crushing for Miami’s bowl hopes. According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Miami now has just a 38.7% chance to reach bowl eligibility.

Miami fell 12 spots this week — amongst the biggest drops in the country — to No. 57 nationally. The Canes are ranked between Washington State and UAB.

A big reason for FPI pessimism is Miami’s remaining schedule. The Canes still have to face Florida State, Clemson and Pittsburgh. They would have to win at least one of those games in order to get to bowl eligibility, plus defeat Virginia and Georgia Tech.

It’s a tall task for a team that has now lost four of its last five games.

FPI also isn’t accounting for a potential serious injury to Tyler Van Dyke, who had to leave the game during Miami’s loss to the Blue Devils. Jake Garcia replaced him and threw 3 interceptions in the loss.

Miami will try to gain some momentum back against Virginia next weekend.