North Carolina is a 4.5-point favorite vs. NC State on Saturday afternoon, according to DraftKings.

The Tar Heels can’t afford to lose this game as they continue to pursue an NCAA Tournament berth. North Carolina has won back-to-back games and four of its last five contests.

Still, UNC remains firmly on the bubble heading into the penultimate weekend of the college basketball season. According to ESPN’s Joe Lunardi, North Carolina is projected to be the final team to make the Field of 64.

The Tar Heels are in a similar spot, according to BracketMatrix. Both projections have North Carolina as a 12-seed, but BracketMatrix would have it going to Dayton for a play-in game prior to the start of the Tournament.

North Carolina dominated NC State in their first meeting this season. The Tar Heels won 100-80 in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score might indicate.

However, that game was in Chapel Hill — where the Tar Heels have been much better this season.

Tipoff is at 2:00 p.m. ET.